Championship · Matchweek 24
Middlesbrough
MID
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Middlesbrough88%
Draw8%
Bolton4%
Expected goals
3.69 – 0.81
Over 2.5
82%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-2.75
Most likely scorelines
- 3–09.6%
- 4–08.6%
- 2–08.1%
- 3–17.6%
- 4–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Middlesbrough will have the ball; Bolton will not mind.
59%Possession47%
42%Territory33%
15%From set plays9%
0.11Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Middlesbrough, 3 for Bolton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Middlesbrough
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.