Championship · Matchweek 24
Burnley
BUR
Lincoln City
LIN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Burnley57%
Draw22%
Lincoln21%
Expected goals
2.06 – 1.21
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.6%
- 1–08.4%
- 2–08.1%
- 3–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Burnley will have the ball; Lincoln will not mind.
50%Possession38%
35%Territory28%
47%From set plays57%
0.16Chance quality0.11
4.3%Directness10.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Burnley, 4 for Lincoln. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Burnley
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.