Championship · Matchweek 24
Bristol City
BRI
Stoke City
STK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bristol City38%
Draw31%
Stoke31%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.07
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 1–012.6%
- 0–011.7%
- 0–111.0%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Stoke will have the ball; Bristol City will not mind.
42%Possession57%
33%Territory37%
33%From set plays49%
0.14Chance quality0.09
5.4%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bristol City, 3 for Stoke. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.