Championship · Matchweek 23
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WOL
Swansea City
SWA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wolves47%
Draw28%
Swansea26%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.05
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–012.2%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–09.0%
- 0–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Swansea will have the ball; Wolves will not mind.
53%Possession65%
36%Territory39%
15%From set plays34%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.2%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Wolves, 3 for Swansea. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.