Championship · Matchweek 23
West Ham United
WHU
Norwich City
NOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
West Ham48%
Draw25%
Norwich27%
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.27
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–07.2%
- 1–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession55%
48%Territory39%
30%From set plays15%
0.09Chance quality0.08
3.1%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for West Ham, 4 for Norwich.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.