Championship · Matchweek 23
Sheffield United
SHU
Middlesbrough
MID
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sheff Utd27%
Draw25%
Middlesbrough48%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.70
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 0–19.5%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–27.4%
- 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Middlesbrough will have the ball; Sheff Utd will not mind.
48%Possession59%
47%Territory42%
60%From set plays15%
0.12Chance quality0.11
7.2%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sheff Utd, 3 for Middlesbrough. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.