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Championship · Matchweek 23

Sheffield United

SHU

Middlesbrough

MID

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sheff Utd27%
Draw25%
Middlesbrough48%

Expected goals

1.24 – 1.70

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–27.4%
  • 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Middlesbrough will have the ball; Sheff Utd will not mind.

48%Possession59%
47%Territory42%
60%From set plays15%
0.12Chance quality0.11
7.2%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sheff Utd, 3 for Middlesbrough. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.