Championship · Matchweek 23
Queens Park Rangers
QUE
Bristol City
BRI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
QPR47%
Draw27%
Bristol City26%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.09
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–011.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.3%
- 2–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession42%
35%Territory33%
41%From set plays33%
0.16Chance quality0.14
5.9%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for QPR, 3 for Bristol City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.