Championship · Matchweek 23
Preston North End
PRE
Derby County
DER
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Preston37%
Draw27%
Derby36%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.40
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–08.8%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Derby will have the ball; Preston will not mind.
36%Possession45%
35%Territory35%
43%From set plays22%
0.07Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Preston, 3 for Derby. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Preston
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.