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Championship · Matchweek 23

Lincoln City

LIN

West Bromwich Albion

WBA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Lincoln15%
Draw19%
West Brom66%

Expected goals

1.07 – 2.31

Over 2.5

65%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.8%
  • 0–29.2%
  • 1–18.5%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 1–37.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

West Brom will have the ball; Lincoln will not mind.

38%Possession60%
28%Territory38%
57%From set plays12%
0.11Chance quality0.15
10.5%Directness3.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lincoln, 3 for West Brom. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.