Championship · Matchweek 23
Charlton Athletic
CHA
Southampton
SOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Charlton17%
Draw23%
Southampton60%
Expected goals
0.90 – 1.84
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.4%
- 0–210.7%
- 1–110.7%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Southampton will have the ball; Charlton will not mind.
43%Possession53%
32%Territory38%
24%From set plays14%
0.07Chance quality0.12
5.7%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Charlton, 4 for Southampton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Charlton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.