Championship · Matchweek 23
Blackburn Rovers
BLA
Birmingham City
BIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Blackburn25%
Draw26%
Birmingham49%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.68
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–27.9%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Birmingham will have the ball; Blackburn will not mind.
40%Possession49%
28%Territory34%
33%From set plays5%
0.09Chance quality0.13
5.6%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Blackburn, 3 for Birmingham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Blackburn
Birmingham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.