Championship · Matchweek 22
Wrexham
WRE
Queens Park Rangers
QUE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wrexham34%
Draw29%
QPR37%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.28
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–09.7%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wrexham will have the ball; QPR will not mind.
53%Possession45%
36%Territory35%
37%From set plays41%
0.08Chance quality0.16
5.7%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wrexham, 3 for QPR. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.