Championship · Matchweek 22
Watford
WAT
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Watford61%
Draw21%
Bolton18%
Expected goals
2.12 – 1.10
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.4%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–09.0%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Watford get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
43%Possession47%
31%Territory33%
31%From set plays9%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.8%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Watford, 3 for Bolton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.