Championship · Matchweek 22
Swansea City
SWA
Preston North End
PRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Swansea56%
Draw24%
Preston19%
Expected goals
1.79 – 0.99
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.7%
- 1–111.0%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.8%
- 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Swansea will have the ball; Preston will not mind.
65%Possession36%
39%Territory35%
34%From set plays43%
0.10Chance quality0.07
4.5%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Swansea, 3 for Preston. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Preston
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.