Championship · Matchweek 22
Southampton
SOU
Blackburn Rovers
BLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Southampton71%
Draw18%
Blackburn11%
Expected goals
2.40 – 0.90
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–09.4%
- 3–08.3%
- 1–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Southampton will have the ball; Blackburn will not mind.
53%Possession40%
38%Territory28%
14%From set plays33%
0.12Chance quality0.09
3.7%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Southampton, 3 for Blackburn. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.