Championship · Matchweek 22
Norwich City
NOR
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Norwich36%
Draw29%
Wolves36%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.28
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.1%
- 0–110.0%
- 0–08.9%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession53%
39%Territory36%
15%From set plays15%
0.08Chance quality0.09
4.1%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Norwich, 4 for Wolves.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.