Championship · Matchweek 22
Millwall
MIL
Charlton Athletic
CHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Millwall68%
Draw20%
Charlton12%
Expected goals
2.09 – 0.80
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.2%
- 2–012.2%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.2%
- 3–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Millwall will have the ball; Charlton will not mind.
59%Possession43%
41%Territory32%
29%From set plays24%
0.13Chance quality0.07
7.2%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Millwall, 3 for Charlton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Charlton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.