Championship · Matchweek 22
Middlesbrough
MID
Portsmouth
POR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Middlesbrough68%
Draw21%
Portsmouth12%
Expected goals
2.02 – 0.74
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.4%
- 2–012.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–19.3%
- 3–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Middlesbrough will have the ball; Portsmouth will not mind.
59%Possession51%
42%Territory29%
15%From set plays52%
0.11Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Middlesbrough, 5 for Portsmouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Middlesbrough
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.