Championship · Matchweek 22
Bristol City
BRI
Cardiff City
CAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bristol City52%
Draw25%
Cardiff23%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.12
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.5%
- 0–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cardiff will have the ball; Bristol City will not mind.
42%Possession52%
33%Territory37%
33%From set plays22%
0.14Chance quality0.13
5.4%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bristol City, 3 for Cardiff. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Cardiff
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.