Championship · Matchweek 22
Birmingham City
BIR
West Ham United
WHU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Birmingham44%
Draw26%
West Ham30%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.35
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–08.7%
- 1–27.2%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
West Ham get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession56%
34%Territory48%
5%From set plays30%
0.13Chance quality0.09
6.2%Directness3.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Birmingham, 4 for West Ham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Birmingham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.