Championship · Matchweek 21
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WOL
Millwall
MIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wolves39%
Draw26%
Millwall35%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.49
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–28.0%
- 1–07.8%
- 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession38%
30%Territory38%
21%From set plays39%
0.17Chance quality0.13
6.4%Directness9.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Wolves, 4 for Millwall. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.