Championship · Matchweek 21
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WOL
Millwall
MIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wolves36%
Draw28%
Millwall36%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.36
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–09.3%
- 0–19.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession59%
36%Territory41%
15%From set plays29%
0.09Chance quality0.13
5.2%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Wolves, 3 for Millwall. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.