Championship · Matchweek 21
West Ham United
WHU
Bristol City
BRI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
West Ham49%
Draw25%
Bristol City26%
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.27
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–07.3%
- 1–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bristol City get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession53%
37%Territory43%
15%From set plays50%
0.18Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for West Ham, 3 for Bristol City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.