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Championship · Matchweek 21

West Ham United

WHU

Bristol City

BRI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

West Ham43%
Draw26%
Bristol City31%

Expected goals

1.59 – 1.33

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–17.4%
  • 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

West Ham will have the ball; Bristol City will not mind.

56%Possession42%
48%Territory33%
30%From set plays33%
0.09Chance quality0.14
3.1%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for West Ham, 3 for Bristol City. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.