Championship · Matchweek 21
Stoke City
STK
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Stoke37%
Draw31%
West Brom33%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.11
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.4%
- 1–012.2%
- 0–011.5%
- 0–111.2%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession55%
39%Territory41%
9%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.8%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Stoke, 4 for West Brom. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.