Championship · Matchweek 21
Stoke City
STK
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Stoke31%
Draw29%
West Brom40%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.33
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–111.5%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–09.7%
- 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Stoke get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
57%Possession60%
37%Territory38%
49%From set plays12%
0.09Chance quality0.15
4.3%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Stoke, 3 for West Brom. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.