Championship · Matchweek 21
Sheffield United
SHU
Burnley
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sheff Utd57%
Draw23%
Burnley20%
Expected goals
1.94 – 1.10
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–08.9%
- 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession50%
47%Territory35%
60%From set plays47%
0.12Chance quality0.16
7.2%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sheff Utd, 3 for Burnley. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Burnley
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.