Championship · Matchweek 21
Queens Park Rangers
QUE
Watford
WAT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
QPR53%
Draw26%
Watford21%
Expected goals
1.61 – 0.95
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.0%
- 1–111.8%
- 2–09.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession43%
35%Territory31%
41%From set plays31%
0.16Chance quality0.10
5.9%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for QPR, 3 for Watford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.