Championship · Matchweek 21
Queens Park Rangers
QUE
Watford
WAT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
QPR48%
Draw28%
Watford25%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.01
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.7%
- 1–112.5%
- 0–09.4%
- 2–19.2%
- 2–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Watford get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession50%
42%Territory35%
16%From set plays35%
0.11Chance quality0.09
4.4%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for QPR, 3 for Watford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.