Championship · Matchweek 21
Preston North End
PRE
Middlesbrough
MID
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Preston29%
Draw26%
Middlesbrough45%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.62
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 0–19.5%
- 1–29.2%
- 1–07.3%
- 2–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Middlesbrough will have the ball; Preston will not mind.
41%Possession59%
38%Territory47%
45%From set plays16%
0.15Chance quality0.12
6.4%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Preston, 4 for Middlesbrough. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.