Championship · Matchweek 21
Preston North End
PRE
Middlesbrough
MID
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Preston10%
Draw17%
Middlesbrough73%
Expected goals
0.86 – 2.43
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–211.2%
- 0–19.6%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–38.7%
- 1–37.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Middlesbrough will have the ball; Preston will not mind.
36%Possession59%
35%Territory42%
43%From set plays15%
0.07Chance quality0.11
5.0%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Preston, 3 for Middlesbrough. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Preston
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.