Championship · Matchweek 21
Portsmouth
POR
Birmingham City
BIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Portsmouth34%
Draw30%
Birmingham36%
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.18
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 0–111.6%
- 1–011.3%
- 0–011.2%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Portsmouth get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession49%
29%Territory34%
52%From set plays5%
0.09Chance quality0.13
6.5%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Portsmouth, 3 for Birmingham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Birmingham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.