Championship · Matchweek 21
Portsmouth
POR
Birmingham City
BIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Portsmouth33%
Draw29%
Birmingham39%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.32
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–09.2%
- 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession45%
40%Territory40%
23%From set plays29%
0.09Chance quality0.12
8.4%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Portsmouth, 4 for Birmingham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.