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Championship · Matchweek 21

Lincoln City

LIN

Norwich City

NOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Lincoln28%
Draw25%
Norwich46%

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.70

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 2–17.0%
  • 0–26.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Norwich will have the ball; Lincoln will not mind.

38%Possession55%
28%Territory39%
57%From set plays15%
0.11Chance quality0.08
10.5%Directness4.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lincoln, 4 for Norwich.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.