Championship · Matchweek 21
Lincoln City
LIN
Norwich City
NOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lincoln28%
Draw25%
Norwich46%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.70
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–17.0%
- 0–26.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Norwich will have the ball; Lincoln will not mind.
38%Possession55%
28%Territory39%
57%From set plays15%
0.11Chance quality0.08
10.5%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lincoln, 4 for Norwich.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.