Championship · Matchweek 21
Lincoln City
LIN
Norwich City
NOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lincoln32%
Draw27%
Norwich40%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.44
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–28.7%
- 1–08.6%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Norwich will have the ball; Lincoln will not mind.
40%Possession51%
30%Territory34%
22%From set plays4%
0.08Chance quality0.12
7.5%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lincoln, 3 for Norwich. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.