Championship · Matchweek 21
Charlton Athletic
CHA
Swansea City
SWA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Charlton27%
Draw29%
Swansea44%
Expected goals
1.04 – 1.36
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–112.7%
- 0–010.3%
- 1–09.4%
- 1–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Swansea will have the ball; Charlton will not mind.
43%Possession65%
32%Territory39%
24%From set plays34%
0.07Chance quality0.10
5.7%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Charlton, 3 for Swansea. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Charlton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.