Championship · Matchweek 21
Charlton Athletic
CHA
Swansea City
SWA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Charlton30%
Draw32%
Swansea38%
Expected goals
0.96 – 1.12
Over 2.5
34%
Both to score
43%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.1%
- 0–014.1%
- 1–113.5%
- 1–011.8%
- 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Swansea will have the ball; Charlton will not mind.
36%Possession56%
27%Territory37%
44%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.15
6.5%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Charlton, 3 for Swansea. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.