Championship · Matchweek 21
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
Wrexham
WRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bolton24%
Draw24%
Wrexham53%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.90
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–18.8%
- 0–27.7%
- 2–26.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wrexham get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession53%
33%Territory36%
9%From set plays37%
0.09Chance quality0.08
6.4%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bolton, 3 for Wrexham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.