Championship · Matchweek 20
Southampton
SOU
Burnley
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Southampton63%
Draw21%
Burnley16%
Expected goals
2.17 – 1.05
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.4%
- 1–09.2%
- 1–19.1%
- 3–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Southampton will have the ball; Burnley will not mind.
57%Possession47%
34%Territory36%
30%From set plays16%
0.10Chance quality0.07
3.8%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Southampton, 4 for Burnley.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.