Championship · Matchweek 20
Preston North End
PRE
Portsmouth
POR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Preston29%
Draw30%
Portsmouth41%
Expected goals
1.04 – 1.29
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 0–112.8%
- 0–011.0%
- 1–010.1%
- 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Portsmouth will have the ball; Preston will not mind.
36%Possession51%
35%Territory29%
43%From set plays52%
0.07Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Preston, 5 for Portsmouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Preston
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.