Championship · Matchweek 20
Lincoln City
LIN
Stoke City
STK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lincoln23%
Draw27%
Stoke50%
Expected goals
1.01 – 1.58
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.4%
- 1–112.0%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–29.0%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Stoke will have the ball; Lincoln will not mind.
38%Possession57%
28%Territory37%
57%From set plays49%
0.11Chance quality0.09
10.5%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lincoln, 3 for Stoke. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.