Championship · Matchweek 20
Lincoln City
LIN
Stoke City
STK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lincoln36%
Draw30%
Stoke35%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.21
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–010.9%
- 0–110.8%
- 0–010.1%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Stoke will have the ball; Lincoln will not mind.
40%Possession50%
30%Territory39%
22%From set plays9%
0.08Chance quality0.10
7.5%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lincoln, 3 for Stoke. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.