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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Championship · Matchweek 20

Wrexham

WRE

Charlton Athletic

CHA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wrexham42%
Draw31%
Charlton26%

Expected goals

1.21 – 0.91

Over 2.5

35%

Both to score

43%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.8%
  • 0–013.4%
  • 1–113.3%
  • 0–110.8%
  • 2–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wrexham will have the ball; Charlton will not mind.

50%Possession36%
33%Territory27%
39%From set plays44%
0.08Chance quality0.07
5.1%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Wrexham, 4 for Charlton.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.