Championship · Matchweek 20
Wrexham
WRE
Charlton Athletic
CHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wrexham56%
Draw26%
Charlton18%
Expected goals
1.61 – 0.82
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.7%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–011.1%
- 0–09.7%
- 2–19.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wrexham will have the ball; Charlton will not mind.
53%Possession43%
36%Territory32%
37%From set plays24%
0.08Chance quality0.07
5.7%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wrexham, 3 for Charlton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Charlton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.