Championship · Matchweek 20
West Ham United
WHU
Middlesbrough
MID
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
West Ham41%
Draw25%
Middlesbrough34%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.50
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–27.8%
- 1–07.5%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession59%
37%Territory47%
15%From set plays16%
0.18Chance quality0.12
4.9%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for West Ham, 4 for Middlesbrough. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.