Championship · Matchweek 20
West Ham United
WHU
Middlesbrough
MID
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
West Ham22%
Draw23%
Middlesbrough55%
Expected goals
1.23 – 2.00
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–18.5%
- 0–27.9%
- 1–36.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession59%
48%Territory42%
30%From set plays15%
0.09Chance quality0.11
3.1%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for West Ham, 3 for Middlesbrough. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.