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Championship · Matchweek 20

West Bromwich Albion

WBA

Cardiff City

CAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

West Brom66%
Draw19%
Cardiff14%

Expected goals

2.27 – 1.01

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–09.9%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 1–18.6%
  • 3–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

West Brom will have the ball; Cardiff will not mind.

60%Possession52%
38%Territory37%
12%From set plays22%
0.15Chance quality0.13
3.0%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for West Brom, 3 for Cardiff. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.