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Championship · Matchweek 20

West Bromwich Albion

WBA

Cardiff City

CAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

West Brom49%
Draw28%
Cardiff23%

Expected goals

1.47 – 0.96

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1013.4%
  • 1112.4%
  • 009.9%
  • 219.2%
  • 209.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Cardiff will have the ball; West Brom will not mind.

55%Possession65%
41%Territory45%
19%From set plays15%
0.09Chance quality0.10
3.5%Directness6.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for West Brom, 4 for Cardiff.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.