Championship · Matchweek 20
Swansea City
SWA
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Swansea64%
Draw20%
Bolton16%
Expected goals
2.28 – 1.11
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 2–08.9%
- 1–18.6%
- 1–08.3%
- 3–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Swansea will have the ball; Bolton will not mind.
65%Possession47%
39%Territory33%
34%From set plays9%
0.10Chance quality0.09
4.5%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Swansea, 3 for Bolton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.