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Championship · Matchweek 20

Queens Park Rangers

QUE

Wolverhampton Wanderers

WOL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

QPR42%
Draw27%
Wolves31%

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.29

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.0%
  • 109.6%
  • 218.9%
  • 018.0%
  • 127.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

49%Possession55%
42%Territory30%
16%From set plays21%
0.11Chance quality0.17
4.4%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for QPR, 2 for Wolves. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.