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Championship · Matchweek 20

Millwall

MIL

Sheffield United

SHU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Millwall44%
Draw26%
Sheff Utd30%

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.31

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 1–27.2%
  • 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Millwall will have the ball; Sheff Utd will not mind.

59%Possession48%
41%Territory47%
29%From set plays60%
0.13Chance quality0.12
7.2%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Millwall, 4 for Sheff Utd. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.