Championship · Matchweek 20
Millwall
MIL
Sheffield United
SHU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Millwall55%
Draw24%
Sheff Utd21%
Expected goals
1.89 – 1.14
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–08.6%
- 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
38%Possession40%
38%Territory38%
39%From set plays26%
0.13Chance quality0.09
9.5%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Millwall, 3 for Sheff Utd. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.