Championship · Matchweek 20
Blackburn Rovers
BLA
Norwich City
NOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Blackburn37%
Draw27%
Norwich37%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.45
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.3%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession51%
42%Territory34%
11%From set plays4%
0.08Chance quality0.12
4.6%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Blackburn, 3 for Norwich. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.