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Championship · Matchweek 20

Blackburn Rovers

BLA

Norwich City

NOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Blackburn30%
Draw27%
Norwich43%

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.54

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 1–07.8%
  • 2–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Norwich will have the ball; Blackburn will not mind.

40%Possession55%
28%Territory39%
33%From set plays15%
0.09Chance quality0.08
5.6%Directness4.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Blackburn, 4 for Norwich. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.