Championship · Matchweek 19
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WOL
Southampton
SOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wolves33%
Draw28%
Southampton39%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.42
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–19.8%
- 1–08.8%
- 1–28.6%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession53%
36%Territory38%
15%From set plays14%
0.09Chance quality0.12
5.2%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Wolves, 4 for Southampton.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.