Championship · Matchweek 19
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WOL
Southampton
SOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wolves38%
Draw25%
Southampton37%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.63
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.1%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession57%
30%Territory34%
21%From set plays30%
0.17Chance quality0.10
6.4%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Wolves, 4 for Southampton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.