Championship · Matchweek 19
Watford
WAT
Millwall
MIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Watford31%
Draw28%
Millwall41%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.45
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–110.3%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.6%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Watford will have the ball; Millwall will not mind.
50%Possession38%
35%Territory38%
35%From set plays39%
0.09Chance quality0.13
4.5%Directness9.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Watford, 4 for Millwall. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.