Championship · Matchweek 19
Watford
WAT
Millwall
MIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Watford29%
Draw27%
Millwall44%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.52
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–08.1%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Millwall will have the ball; Watford will not mind.
43%Possession59%
31%Territory41%
31%From set plays29%
0.10Chance quality0.13
5.8%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Watford, 3 for Millwall. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.