Championship · Matchweek 19
Stoke City
STK
Queens Park Rangers
QUE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Stoke39%
Draw28%
QPR32%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.22
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.6%
- 0–19.3%
- 0–08.7%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession49%
39%Territory42%
9%From set plays16%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.8%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Stoke, 4 for QPR. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.