Championship · Matchweek 19
Stoke City
STK
Queens Park Rangers
QUE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Stoke37%
Draw31%
QPR33%
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.09
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.4%
- 1–012.4%
- 0–012.0%
- 0–111.5%
- 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Stoke will have the ball; QPR will not mind.
57%Possession45%
37%Territory35%
49%From set plays41%
0.09Chance quality0.16
4.3%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Stoke, 3 for QPR. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.