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Championship · Matchweek 19

Portsmouth

POR

West Bromwich Albion

WBA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Portsmouth35%
Draw33%
West Brom33%

Expected goals

1.05 – 1.02

Over 2.5

34%

Both to score

43%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 0014.2%
  • 1113.6%
  • 1013.2%
  • 0112.7%
  • 217.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

44%Possession55%
40%Territory41%
23%From set plays19%
0.09Chance quality0.09
8.4%Directness3.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Portsmouth, 4 for West Brom. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.