Championship · Matchweek 19
Norwich City
NOR
Wrexham
WRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Norwich51%
Draw25%
Wrexham24%
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.20
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–07.9%
- 1–26.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wrexham get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession50%
34%Territory33%
4%From set plays39%
0.12Chance quality0.08
6.5%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Norwich, 4 for Wrexham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.