Championship · Matchweek 19
Norwich City
NOR
Wrexham
WRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Norwich40%
Draw28%
Wrexham32%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.21
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–19.4%
- 0–08.8%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wrexham get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
55%Possession53%
39%Territory36%
15%From set plays37%
0.08Chance quality0.08
4.1%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Norwich, 3 for Wrexham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.