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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Championship · Matchweek 19

Charlton Athletic

CHA

Birmingham City

BIR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Charlton27%
Draw30%
Birmingham42%

Expected goals

0.98 – 1.27

Over 2.5

39%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–113.6%
  • 1–113.2%
  • 0–011.8%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Birmingham will have the ball; Charlton will not mind.

36%Possession45%
27%Territory40%
44%From set plays29%
0.07Chance quality0.12
6.5%Directness6.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Charlton, 4 for Birmingham.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.