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Championship · Matchweek 19

Charlton Athletic

CHA

Birmingham City

BIR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Charlton23%
Draw27%
Birmingham50%

Expected goals

0.99 – 1.53

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–112.8%
  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–29.0%
  • 0–09.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Charlton get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

43%Possession49%
32%Territory34%
24%From set plays5%
0.07Chance quality0.13
5.7%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Charlton, 3 for Birmingham. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.