Championship · Matchweek 19
Cardiff City
CAR
Lincoln City
LIN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cardiff42%
Draw28%
Lincoln30%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.14
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.4%
- 0–19.2%
- 0–09.1%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cardiff will have the ball; Lincoln will not mind.
65%Possession40%
45%Territory30%
15%From set plays22%
0.10Chance quality0.08
6.1%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cardiff, 3 for Lincoln. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.