Championship · Matchweek 19
Cardiff City
CAR
Lincoln City
LIN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cardiff55%
Draw23%
Lincoln22%
Expected goals
1.97 – 1.21
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–08.0%
- 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cardiff will have the ball; Lincoln will not mind.
52%Possession38%
37%Territory28%
22%From set plays57%
0.13Chance quality0.11
6.5%Directness10.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cardiff, 4 for Lincoln. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Cardiff
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.