Championship · Matchweek 19
Burnley
BUR
Preston North End
PRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Burnley55%
Draw24%
Preston21%
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.13
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–08.6%
- 3–16.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Burnley will have the ball; Preston will not mind.
50%Possession36%
35%Territory35%
47%From set plays43%
0.16Chance quality0.07
4.3%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Burnley, 3 for Preston. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Burnley
Preston
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.