Championship · Matchweek 19
Burnley
BUR
Preston North End
PRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Burnley33%
Draw27%
Preston40%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.46
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–19.5%
- 1–28.7%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Preston get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession41%
36%Territory38%
16%From set plays45%
0.07Chance quality0.15
6.1%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Burnley, 3 for Preston. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.