Championship · Matchweek 19
Bristol City
BRI
Swansea City
SWA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bristol City42%
Draw28%
Swansea30%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.15
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.3%
- 0–19.1%
- 0–09.0%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bristol City get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession56%
43%Territory37%
50%From set plays21%
0.09Chance quality0.15
4.4%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bristol City, 3 for Swansea. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.