Championship · Matchweek 19
Bristol City
BRI
Swansea City
SWA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bristol City46%
Draw27%
Swansea27%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.11
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–011.4%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–08.3%
- 0–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Swansea will have the ball; Bristol City will not mind.
42%Possession65%
33%Territory39%
33%From set plays34%
0.14Chance quality0.10
5.4%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bristol City, 3 for Swansea. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.