Championship · Matchweek 19
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
Blackburn Rovers
BLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bolton38%
Draw25%
Blackburn38%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.67
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–18.1%
- 2–27.0%
- 0–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Blackburn get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession40%
33%Territory28%
9%From set plays33%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.4%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bolton, 3 for Blackburn. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.