Championship · Matchweek 19
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
Blackburn Rovers
BLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bolton30%
Draw28%
Blackburn43%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.46
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–110.7%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.6%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession58%
35%Territory42%
25%From set plays11%
0.09Chance quality0.08
6.7%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bolton, 3 for Blackburn. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.